on May 18, 2013

'When I use a word,' Humpty Dumpty said, in rather a scornful tone, 'it means just what I choose it to mean -- neither...

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on May 16, 2013

Sometimes a picture really is worth 1000 words. This is certainly true with the above chart, showing China's producer price index since 2008: • It...

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on May 15, 2013

The 25 years of the BabyBoomer demand supercycle between 1983-2007 cover the careers of most people in the industry. Over this quarter-century, we...

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on May 14, 2013

Q1 data from Global Trade Information Services provides further evidence of the slowdown underway in China. As the chart shows, the dramatic drop...

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on May 13, 2013

Friday provided a good test of the blog's analysis that Japan's aggressive policy of devaluing the yen could result in major downward pressure on...

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on May 11, 2013

The importance of demographics in driving demand is clearly becoming more widely understood. This week, the blog was interviewed by the editors of MoneyWeek (the...

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on May 9, 2013

Blog readers read it here first. Last month the blog did some simple sums to show that US auto sales were unlikely to...

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on May 8, 2013

As the blog discussed yesterday, central banks have now kept oil prices above the historical $10-30/bbl range for 10 years. But can they remain there...

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on May 7, 2013

Since 1900, as the chart shows, oil prices have never been so high for so long as now. Until 2003, they had only...

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on May 6, 2013

Central bankers mean well. But, of course, good intentions do not guarantee good results. Their intention since the start of the 2008 crisis has...

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